covid diary Tuesday 31th March 2020- Lockdown Day 6

Weather mild. Good for a walk.

There was an article today saying over reaction to disease by academic. One thing that was interesting was background deaths that are being attributed to Covid that may be just normal annual deaths. So increasing numbers above what they should be. No data, so interesting commentary but nothing to substantiate it. On the other hand I thought this modelling exercise was very interesting, transparent data and modelling:

So I may need to go back to global data and look at average deathrates per country and put that in, also maybe respitory disease deaths and take this off the total to see if it is still high. No use at the moment in NZ as only one fatality to date.